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2020-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% -
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 (21.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% -
Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% -
Log Adjusted 63.8% 36.2% -
Points Off/Def 54.7% 45.3% -

Actual: New York Knicks -21 (106-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 31 9-17 3-5 6-6 2 0 0 0 27 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 30 4-12 0-3 4-4 13 4 1 0 12 - -
Jae Crowder * 29 4-6 4-6 6-7 7 2 1 0 18 - -
Ja Morant * 27 7-13 0-0 4-8 3 10 2 1 18 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 19 4-12 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 1 10 - -
Brandon Clarke 26 7-10 0-0 3-3 5 1 3 1 17 - -
Tyus Jones 20 5-7 2-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 12 - -
Kyle Anderson 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Solomon Hill 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 - -
Marko Guduric 12 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Josh Jackson 5 0-1 0-1 3-3 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Yuta Watanabe 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
John Konchar 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 35 5-14 0-4 6-10 14 6 0 0 16 - -
Elfrid Payton * 34 7-14 0-0 1-2 7 11 2 0 15 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 26 5-17 3-9 4-4 6 0 1 1 17 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 19 4-9 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Taj Gibson * 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Mitchell Robinson 30 4-6 0-0 2-5 9 2 3 4 10 - -
Damyean Dotson 24 5-8 4-5 1-1 0 1 0 0 15 - -
Kevin Knox II 22 3-7 1-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Bobby Portis 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 13 3-6 1-2 1-2 2 4 2 0 8 - -
Wayne Ellington 8 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter