Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✗ (30.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -29 (104-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 33 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 30 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 30 | 12-20 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 29 | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 29 | 13-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 29 | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 22 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Dario Šarić | 22 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Tyler Johnson | 17 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Elie Okobo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Cheick Diallo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 26 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - | |
| Luka Dončić * | 25 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 22 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 19 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 18 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Boban Marjanović | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter