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2020-01-28

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% - βœ—
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 βœ— (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.0% 41.0% - βœ“
Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 72.8% 27.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 72.8% 27.2% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 62.8% 37.2% - βœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -14 (111-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 33 10-16 3-7 5-6 2 8 3 4 28 - -
Lonzo Ball * 32 2-10 1-7 0-0 8 7 1 2 5 - -
Brandon Ingram * 31 9-13 4-4 2-2 1 6 2 0 24 - -
Zion Williamson * 29 7-13 0-0 0-1 9 1 0 0 14 - -
Derrick Favors * 23 4-5 0-0 1-3 8 1 1 1 9 - -
JJ Redick 27 4-10 2-6 5-5 3 3 1 0 15 - -
Josh Hart 21 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 1 1 2 2 - -
Nicolo Melli 16 4-6 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Jaxson Hayes 15 3-5 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 1 8 - -
Frank Jackson 8 3-5 0-1 3-4 2 0 0 1 9 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 31 9-20 2-5 4-4 3 4 2 1 24 - -
Kevin Love * 26 4-15 2-10 2-2 6 3 0 0 12 - -
Cedi Osman * 24 4-11 1-3 0-0 4 4 0 1 9 - -
Tristan Thompson * 22 2-6 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 0 5 - -
DantΓ© Exum * 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 25 8-16 5-8 0-0 2 2 1 0 21 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 25 6-10 1-3 4-4 11 7 2 0 17 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 23 2-5 0-2 3-4 5 1 1 0 7 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 18 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 4 - -
John Henson 18 3-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Matt Mooney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dean Wade 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tyler Cook 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter