Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +1.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (97-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luka Dončić * | 33 | 10-24 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 26 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 27 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 22 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 21 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 16 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder * | 40 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 32 | 5-20 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 22 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kevin Hervey | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter