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2020-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% - ✗
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 ✗ (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% - ✓
Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 56.5% 43.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 56.5% 43.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.6% 50.4% - ✗

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -4 (129-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nemanja Bjelica * 41 7-10 4-6 2-2 9 8 2 3 20 - -
Harrison Barnes * 38 3-7 0-2 6-6 4 2 0 0 12 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 37 7-17 0-3 8-14 7 8 1 2 22 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 34 4-11 2-8 1-1 6 0 1 0 11 - -
Dewayne Dedmon * 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 3 2 - -
Buddy Hield 37 14-24 9-14 5-5 5 3 0 0 42 - -
Kent Bazemore 20 4-7 2-2 5-6 5 1 1 0 15 - -
Cory Joseph 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 4 - -
Yogi Ferrell 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Harry Giles III 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Tolliver 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 42 13-21 7-11 3-6 9 8 0 1 36 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 40 7-18 3-6 6-8 8 3 1 1 23 - -
Shabazz Napier * 31 3-6 2-4 2-6 6 8 2 1 10 - -
Robert Covington * 27 8-12 6-10 2-3 7 0 0 0 24 - -
Jarrett Culver * 26 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 3 0 5 - -
Josh Okogie 26 1-7 0-2 5-8 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 24 3-7 1-5 2-2 5 2 0 2 9 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 21 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 8 - -
Kelan Martin 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Gorgui Dieng 7 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 2 5 - -
Naz Reid 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Noah Vonleh 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter