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2020-01-27

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 65.3% 34.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% -
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 53.1% 46.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.1% 46.9% -
Log Adjusted 53.0% 47.0% -
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +1 (110-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 35 11-21 0-0 14-17 10 3 0 0 36 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 35 7-12 0-0 2-8 13 1 0 3 16 - -
Trey Lyles * 26 3-7 2-4 2-4 8 1 0 1 10 - -
Bryn Forbes * 22 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 - -
Dejounte Murray * 22 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 - -
Patty Mills 28 8-15 6-12 3-3 1 2 2 0 25 - -
Derrick White 22 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 - -
Rudy Gay 21 3-6 1-2 2-2 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 14 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Chimezie Metu 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 4 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 35 7-22 3-9 6-6 6 2 1 0 23 - -
Kris Dunn * 35 5-9 0-2 0-0 6 8 3 1 10 - -
Luke Kornet * 30 4-10 2-5 2-2 9 3 1 1 12 - -
Thaddeus Young * 29 5-11 2-4 1-2 9 2 0 0 13 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 28 5-9 1-3 2-2 3 6 2 0 13 - -
Coby White 21 4-13 2-6 1-2 6 1 1 0 11 - -
Chandler Hutchison 20 4-7 0-2 0-1 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Denzel Valentine 19 6-10 4-6 0-0 4 3 0 0 16 - -
Cristiano Felicio 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter