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2020-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 29.5% 70.5% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% - βœ“
Margin 53.9% 46.1% -0.9 βœ“ (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% - βœ—
Efficiency 28.7% 71.3% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% - βœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons -15 (100-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 38 10-19 0-1 3-4 3 5 0 0 23 - -
Tristan Thompson * 26 7-8 0-0 3-4 11 1 0 0 17 - -
Darius Garland * 25 3-10 0-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Love * 24 7-11 6-8 0-0 7 2 0 0 20 - -
Cedi Osman * 23 3-7 1-3 0-0 5 4 1 0 7 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 24 6-10 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 1 15 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 23 5-12 0-2 0-0 5 3 1 2 10 - -
John Henson 17 2-7 0-3 0-0 6 3 1 1 4 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 16 4-8 0-1 1-1 1 0 3 1 9 - -
DantΓ© Exum 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 2 2 1 4 - -
Tyler Cook 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dean Wade 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sekou Doumbouya * 35 3-7 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 2 8 - -
Andre Drummond * 32 7-12 0-0 1-2 8 4 3 2 15 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 26 5-13 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Reggie Jackson * 25 6-14 3-5 1-2 2 2 1 0 16 - -
Thon Maker * 16 3-7 1-5 2-3 6 2 1 1 9 - -
Bruce Brown 25 3-3 0-0 2-2 4 6 0 1 8 - -
Markieff Morris 24 3-9 1-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 9 - -
Langston Galloway 22 4-10 3-7 0-0 1 0 1 0 11 - -
Christian Wood 20 3-6 0-1 2-4 6 0 1 1 8 - -
Louis King 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter