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2020-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% - βœ—
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 βœ— (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% - βœ“
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 62.0% 38.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 54.1% 45.9% - βœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -12 (106-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 39 16-30 5-12 7-8 10 8 1 0 44 - -
Thaddeus Young * 34 5-9 0-2 1-2 3 2 3 1 11 - -
Kris Dunn * 32 4-6 0-2 2-2 5 4 3 0 10 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 30 8-11 1-2 2-2 6 6 3 0 19 - -
Luke Kornet * 25 3-5 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 1 6 - -
Cristiano Felicio 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 - -
Coby White 18 2-6 1-2 3-3 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Chandler Hutchison 15 2-7 1-3 3-4 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 12 3-5 3-5 0-1 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Denzel Valentine 10 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 34 5-12 2-5 1-1 0 0 1 0 13 - -
Collin Sexton * 33 7-15 3-7 1-1 2 3 1 0 18 - -
Kevin Love * 32 8-16 4-8 0-0 11 2 1 0 20 - -
Cedi Osman * 30 7-11 2-4 2-3 1 6 2 0 18 - -
Tristan Thompson * 27 3-7 0-0 1-2 7 6 0 0 7 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 24 7-11 1-3 0-0 11 4 0 0 15 - -
DantΓ© Exum 22 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 5 0 0 4 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 - -
John Henson 11 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 1 7 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 - -

* = starter