Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +5 (112-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 36 | 11-25 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 34 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 25 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 16 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Boban Marjanović | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert * | 37 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 36 | 9-25 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanović * | 34 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 10 | - | |
| Joe Ingles * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 24 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Mike Conley | 19 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Georges Niang | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
* = starter