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2020-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% - βœ“
Margin 60.1% 39.9% -2.2 βœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% - βœ—
Efficiency 48.5% 51.5% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 48.0% 52.0% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% - βœ—

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -4 (99-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 40 11-20 3-7 10-10 4 10 0 1 35 - -
Deandre Ayton * 36 5-11 0-0 0-0 11 3 1 0 10 - -
Ricky Rubio * 34 5-10 1-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 33 6-14 0-5 4-6 9 2 2 3 16 - -
Dario Šarić * 33 9-13 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 20 - -
Mikal Bridges 32 2-12 1-7 3-4 7 4 2 0 8 - -
Elie Okobo 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Ty Jerome 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Jevon Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 37 6-11 1-2 3-4 6 3 1 2 16 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 10-15 0-1 10-11 8 4 1 0 30 - -
Bryn Forbes * 24 3-7 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 7 - -
Dejounte Murray * 19 3-9 0-2 0-1 5 2 0 0 6 - -
Trey Lyles * 18 1-6 1-3 0-0 8 0 0 0 3 - -
Patty Mills 29 2-11 2-7 1-1 4 2 2 0 7 - -
Derrick White 28 2-5 0-2 9-11 6 4 3 4 13 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 16 3-6 0-1 3-3 0 2 1 0 9 - -
Rudy Gay 14 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Jakob Poeltl 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 - -
Marco Belinelli 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter