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2020-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% - βœ—
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.1 βœ— (20.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - βœ—
Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.7% 45.3% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 54.7% 45.3% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% - βœ—

Actual: Chicago Bulls -17 (81-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 35 8-14 0-2 3-4 3 1 1 0 19 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 31 5-11 1-3 2-2 7 3 1 1 13 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 25 4-10 2-7 2-2 3 1 0 0 12 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 24 5-14 0-1 8-9 6 7 3 0 18 - -
Dewayne Dedmon * 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 - -
Cory Joseph 27 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 4 0 1 6 - -
Buddy Hield 22 7-12 5-9 2-2 8 1 0 1 21 - -
Harry Giles III 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 2 2 - -
Kent Bazemore 18 1-7 0-3 1-2 3 0 1 1 3 - -
Anthony Tolliver 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Justin James 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Yogi Ferrell 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kyle Guy 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 33 8-21 3-9 2-3 6 2 0 1 21 - -
Thaddeus Young * 29 4-8 0-4 2-2 8 2 1 1 10 - -
Kris Dunn * 27 4-6 1-1 1-2 6 6 2 1 10 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 24 2-7 1-4 3-4 4 2 1 0 8 - -
Luke Kornet * 17 2-9 0-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Coby White 27 2-9 2-7 2-2 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Cristiano Felicio 24 1-1 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 2 - -
Chandler Hutchison 19 5-6 0-1 1-1 3 3 1 0 11 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Denzel Valentine 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 - -
Shaquille Harrison 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Adam Mokoka 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter