Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.2% | 37.8% | -2.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -13 (112-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 10-14 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 28 | 7-15 | 4-5 | 9-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 13 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Rose * | 33 | 10-21 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 23 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 34 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 28 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 28 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 7-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Louis King | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tim Frazier | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter