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2020-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 12.2% 87.8% -
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% -
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.6 (30.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.4% 41.6% -
Log Adjusted 58.4% 41.6% -
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -25 (87-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 33 8-11 0-0 8-11 13 4 0 1 24 - -
T.J. Warren * 30 11-18 0-0 3-4 3 0 3 1 25 - -
Myles Turner * 25 4-9 1-4 0-1 8 0 0 4 9 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 21 2-9 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 15 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 5 - -
T.J. McConnell 26 4-5 0-0 2-2 4 11 3 1 10 - -
Justin Holiday 25 4-6 3-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Doug McDermott 25 5-8 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 12 - -
Aaron Holiday 19 3-10 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 7 - -
Edmond Sumner 9 1-2 1-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
JaKarr Sampson 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Goga Bitadze 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 32 5-16 1-4 6-7 9 0 0 1 17 - -
Devin Booker * 31 5-12 0-3 6-6 2 3 1 0 16 - -
Deandre Ayton * 30 5-12 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 10 - -
Ricky Rubio * 22 3-8 0-2 1-2 2 3 1 0 7 - -
Dario Saric * 19 2-7 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Mikal Bridges 33 4-8 1-3 0-0 6 0 2 0 9 - -
Elie Okobo 26 2-9 1-4 6-6 5 3 1 1 11 - -
Jevon Carter 19 2-5 1-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Cheick Diallo 12 1-3 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Ty Jerome 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 - -

* = starter