Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -4 (117-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 34 | 12-20 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 27 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 24 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 38 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 34 | 6-22 | 2-8 | 8-11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 18 | 8-11 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 13 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter