Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | -2.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +16 (121-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 38 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 34 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 8-19 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 30 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 21 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 34 | 11-25 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 13-15 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 29 | 8-11 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 21 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Michael Frazier | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Clemons | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter