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2020-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 42.0% 58.0% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.0% 62.0% -
Log Adjusted 38.0% 62.0% -
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +12 (107-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 40 7-18 4-10 4-5 6 4 1 2 22 - -
Ben Simmons * 37 5-7 0-0 7-9 10 8 2 0 17 - -
Al Horford * 36 3-11 1-6 0-0 10 7 2 0 7 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 27 5-12 3-9 0-0 2 0 2 0 13 - -
Josh Richardson * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 27 6-13 4-8 1-2 2 1 0 2 17 - -
Shake Milton 22 3-10 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Mike Scott 14 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Norvel Pelle 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 1 - -
Raul Neto 11 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
James Ennis III 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 41 8-17 6-7 0-1 5 8 1 0 22 - -
Kyle Lowry * 35 5-12 0-5 6-9 3 4 0 0 16 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 8-23 1-8 1-2 15 3 1 0 18 - -
Marc Gasol * 24 7-7 3-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 17 - -
OG Anunoby * 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 - -
Norman Powell 28 6-11 1-5 5-6 8 0 0 1 18 - -
Serge Ibaka 27 6-9 2-3 2-3 7 2 2 0 16 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Terence Davis 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 - -
Patrick McCaw 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter