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2020-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 โœ— (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 63.8% 36.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.3% 16.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.3% 16.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 72.5% 27.5% - โœ“

Actual: New York Knicks -8 (92-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 9-16 2-5 1-3 6 5 5 0 21 - -
Anthony Davis * 30 7-14 1-2 13-13 5 5 1 2 28 - -
Danny Green * 19 1-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 - -
Avery Bradley * 18 2-7 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -
JaVale McGee * 16 3-5 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Dwight Howard 27 2-4 0-0 1-4 12 0 1 3 5 - -
Kyle Kuzma 27 4-10 0-2 2-3 7 1 0 2 10 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 26 5-10 3-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 13 - -
Alex Caruso 19 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 1 2 - -
Rajon Rondo 18 3-6 2-4 0-2 1 3 2 0 8 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Morris Sr. * 37 7-16 4-9 2-2 6 1 0 0 20 - -
Julius Randle * 34 6-16 0-4 4-5 8 6 1 0 16 - -
Elfrid Payton * 31 4-6 0-1 0-2 6 9 1 2 8 - -
Reggie Bullock * 21 2-6 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Taj Gibson * 17 6-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 12 - -
Damyean Dotson 27 6-14 5-11 0-0 2 0 1 0 17 - -
Mitchell Robinson 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 1 4 - -
Bobby Portis 18 2-8 0-1 1-2 2 5 1 0 5 - -
Frank Ntilikina 12 0-8 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 10 1-3 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter