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2020-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 13.0% 87.0% -
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% -
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% -
Log Adjusted 21.9% 78.1% -
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +24 (119-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valanciunas * 26 7-13 1-2 1-2 13 1 2 2 16 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 25 5-15 3-8 0-0 5 1 0 4 13 - -
Ja Morant * 23 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 - -
Jae Crowder * 18 1-8 1-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 - -
Dillon Brooks * 18 1-6 1-3 3-4 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 23 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 9 - -
De'Anthony Melton 21 4-6 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 1 8 - -
Solomon Hill 21 4-6 3-4 2-3 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Grayson Allen 18 4-8 0-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 10 - -
Tyus Jones 17 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 - -
Kyle Anderson 14 4-7 0-1 2-2 0 2 2 0 10 - -
Marko Guduric 11 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 29 4-9 2-6 2-2 6 6 1 0 12 - -
Gordon Hayward * 28 4-7 2-4 2-2 3 4 1 0 12 - -
Jayson Tatum * 26 9-18 3-7 2-2 7 4 2 1 23 - -
Kemba Walker * 25 2-9 2-5 2-3 3 4 2 2 8 - -
Daniel Theis * 18 5-7 3-3 1-2 4 2 2 3 14 - -
Brad Wanamaker 25 5-11 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 10 - -
Enes Kanter 19 6-8 0-0 1-2 8 3 0 1 13 - -
Javonte Green 19 2-6 0-0 5-7 1 2 1 1 9 - -
Semi Ojeleye 14 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Carsen Edwards 12 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 7 - -
Grant Williams 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 - -
Vincent Poirier 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter