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2020-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -
Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% -
Points Off/Def 50.4% 49.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +21 (127-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 34 3-9 1-2 1-2 8 0 0 1 8 - -
Dewayne Dedmon * 31 6-13 1-4 0-0 10 2 0 0 13 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 30 8-17 1-2 5-9 3 3 3 0 22 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 29 6-12 1-4 1-1 9 5 1 0 14 - -
Buddy Hield * 28 6-16 2-9 0-1 4 5 2 0 14 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 25 8-17 3-8 0-0 2 3 0 0 19 - -
Cory Joseph 16 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Kent Bazemore 16 2-4 1-2 2-4 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Harry Giles III 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 3 1 0 3 - -
Yogi Ferrell 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Tolliver 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Justin James 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Snell * 33 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Derrick Rose * 30 8-17 0-1 6-7 6 11 0 0 22 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 29 3-4 2-3 5-5 3 0 1 1 13 - -
Markieff Morris * 26 4-12 3-6 2-2 11 1 0 0 13 - -
Thon Maker * 22 1-2 0-0 8-11 10 1 1 2 10 - -
Langston Galloway 29 5-10 2-6 2-3 1 0 4 0 14 - -
Christian Wood 25 7-7 0-0 9-11 3 1 1 0 23 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 21 1-4 0-3 2-2 7 0 0 1 4 - -
Reggie Jackson 19 8-14 3-7 3-3 3 4 2 0 22 - -
Louis King 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Bone 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter