Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | +1.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (107-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 36 | 12-29 | 1-9 | 11-12 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 25 | - | |
| Landry Shamet * | 35 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 14 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Lou Williams | 32 | 5-19 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 27 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Jerome Robinson | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Patrick Patterson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 12-26 | 3-12 | 9-14 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 31 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 30 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 27 | 4-17 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 31 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Seth Curry | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter