Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.2% | 37.8% | -2.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +5 (129-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Paschall * | 42 | 11-21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 39 | 11-23 | 2-6 | 9-9 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 33 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee * | 39 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 39 | 9-27 | 5-16 | 4-4 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 29 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 21 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 20 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 46 | 5-16 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 45 | 17-37 | 11-20 | 16-16 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 61 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 43 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 42 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 41 | 4-14 | 1-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Hoard | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter