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2020-01-21

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 47.0% 53.0% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% -
Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% -
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -2 (118-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 34 5-15 0-0 8-9 9 8 3 0 18 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 32 6-14 1-4 6-8 3 2 2 3 19 - -
Bryn Forbes * 32 8-13 8-11 0-2 1 2 0 0 24 - -
Dejounte Murray * 24 4-7 2-2 0-0 2 4 4 0 10 - -
Trey Lyles * 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 - -
Derrick White 26 9-14 4-5 3-3 3 7 0 0 25 - -
Marco Belinelli 23 5-9 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 11 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 - -
Jakob Poeltl 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 3 6 - -
Patty Mills 12 1-5 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 38 13-23 4-6 7-7 7 5 0 0 37 - -
Deandre Ayton * 38 9-14 0-0 7-8 12 2 1 1 25 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 36 6-13 1-6 2-3 8 1 0 1 15 - -
Ricky Rubio * 35 6-12 1-3 2-3 3 9 2 1 15 - -
Dario Saric * 20 2-5 1-2 5-5 5 1 0 0 10 - -
Mikal Bridges 32 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 - -
Jevon Carter 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Elie Okobo 12 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 4 0 0 3 - -
Cheick Diallo 9 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter