Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -7 (100-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monte Morris * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 32 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 31 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 29 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 23 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 35 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shabazz Napier * | 28 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver * | 27 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 26 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Allen Crabbe | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 15 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 12 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter