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2020-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 22.9% 77.1% +6.7 (25.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Log Adjusted 47.9% 52.1% -
Points Off/Def 44.6% 55.4% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +32 (139-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 29 5-12 0-2 5-5 7 13 0 0 15 - -
Danny Green * 24 2-6 2-6 1-1 1 0 0 1 7 - -
Avery Bradley * 23 4-7 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 8 - -
Anthony Davis * 22 3-7 0-0 3-3 4 2 1 2 9 - -
JaVale McGee * 18 7-9 1-2 3-4 5 0 0 3 18 - -
Kyle Kuzma 23 4-12 0-2 5-7 3 0 1 0 13 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 21 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 7 - -
Rajon Rondo 20 5-9 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 13 - -
Dwight Howard 18 4-5 0-0 1-2 10 0 1 0 9 - -
Alex Caruso 16 0-5 0-3 1-2 0 1 0 1 1 - -
Troy Daniels 13 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -
Quinn Cook 4 1-4 1-1 1-3 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Jared Dudley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 32 6-12 2-3 2-3 6 5 1 0 16 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 6-14 2-7 6-9 4 6 3 0 20 - -
Kemba Walker * 29 8-13 2-4 2-2 4 7 1 0 20 - -
Jayson Tatum * 28 10-18 5-8 2-3 5 3 1 0 27 - -
Daniel Theis * 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 3 1 1 5 - -
Marcus Smart 26 3-8 1-5 2-2 3 4 2 0 9 - -
Enes Kanter 24 8-10 0-0 2-4 11 0 0 1 18 - -
Semi Ojeleye 19 1-4 1-1 2-2 5 0 0 1 5 - -
Javonte Green 8 2-4 0-2 1-4 0 0 1 0 5 - -
Vincent Poirier 6 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 2 5 - -
Grant Williams 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Brad Wanamaker 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Romeo Langford 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter