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2020-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 28.9% 71.1% -
Margin 22.9% 77.1% +6.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.8% 67.2% -
Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.9% 90.1% -
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% -
Points Off/Def 17.2% 82.8% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +13 (111-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 35 7-19 2-8 8-9 5 1 3 0 24 - -
Kris Dunn * 31 6-12 3-5 0-0 5 2 3 0 15 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 31 2-11 0-7 4-4 8 0 0 0 8 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 25 3-11 1-6 0-0 3 4 1 0 7 - -
Luke Kornet * 15 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Thaddeus Young 27 5-11 4-8 0-0 6 3 2 2 14 - -
Coby White 24 2-8 1-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Chandler Hutchison 19 3-5 1-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 8 - -
Cristiano Felicio 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 12 2-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 - -
Shaquille Harrison 2 1-2 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Denzel Valentine 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 31 12-20 1-5 3-9 14 10 1 1 28 - -
Khris Middleton * 30 10-13 3-4 1-1 6 6 0 0 24 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 28 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 7 - -
Brook Lopez * 27 3-10 1-6 0-1 3 2 1 3 7 - -
Wesley Matthews * 26 4-6 3-5 2-4 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Kyle Korver 21 5-5 2-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 12 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 20 2-6 0-2 0-2 7 4 1 0 4 - -
George Hill 17 3-6 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 6 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 17 1-3 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 5 - -
Dragan Bender 14 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 1 5 - -
D.J. Wilson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sterling Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter