Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -10 (116-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 34 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 11-12 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 32 | 12-18 | 7-10 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick * | 21 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 28 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 20 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart | 17 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 35 | 12-25 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 30 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 17 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 14 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 13 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter