Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -5 (107-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 34 | 7-19 | 4-8 | 7-7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 9-18 | 4-8 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 34 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 25 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Tucker * | 41 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 38 | 9-29 | 1-17 | 10-13 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 37 | 16-24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore * | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 35 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 29 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter