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2020-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 45.4% 54.6% -
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% -
Margin 50.7% 49.3% -0.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 65.6% 34.4% -
Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% -
Log Adjusted 83.0% 17.0% -
Points Off/Def 72.7% 27.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -5 (117-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 29 6-13 0-4 6-7 6 1 1 1 18 - -
Kyle Lowry * 29 3-11 0-5 4-4 4 7 1 1 10 - -
Fred VanVleet * 26 4-11 1-4 11-14 4 2 3 0 20 - -
Marc Gasol * 23 4-8 2-6 4-7 5 2 0 0 14 - -
OG Anunoby * 20 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Norman Powell 25 7-14 6-9 7-7 1 1 2 0 27 - -
Serge Ibaka 24 3-10 2-6 0-0 7 0 1 0 8 - -
Patrick McCaw 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 4 3 0 2 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 20 3-7 0-0 1-4 10 3 2 0 7 - -
Terence Davis 19 5-10 2-6 0-0 4 4 0 1 12 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 39 11-20 2-7 18-21 6 15 1 0 42 - -
John Collins * 37 8-11 0-1 1-2 11 0 0 3 17 - -
Cam Reddish * 34 5-13 3-6 0-0 8 1 2 0 13 - -
Kevin Huerter * 29 3-12 3-9 0-1 7 3 0 1 9 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 27 4-8 2-4 3-4 6 4 1 2 13 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 17 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 1 2 0 3 - -
Bruno Fernando 16 6-7 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 12 - -
Damian Jones 16 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 2 1 0 - -
Jeff Teague 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Vince Carter 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 6 - -
Brandon Goodwin 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter