🐻⬇️🏀

@
2020-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 85.2% 14.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.0% 50.0% - ✓
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 ✗ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - ✓
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 43.1% 56.9% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards +6 (106-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 35 7-11 0-0 4-7 16 3 4 2 18 - -
Derrick Rose * 34 8-21 1-5 4-6 4 2 2 0 21 - -
Tony Snell * 29 5-9 4-7 2-2 1 0 0 0 16 - -
Bruce Brown * 25 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 4 1 1 7 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 23 2-7 0-4 2-3 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Langston Galloway 26 3-11 0-2 0-0 5 4 2 0 6 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 24 4-13 2-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Markieff Morris 17 3-8 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Christian Wood 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 6 - -
Tim Frazier 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 33 10-21 2-7 7-8 1 6 1 0 29 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 23 9-10 1-1 2-3 7 1 2 3 21 - -
Isaac Bonga * 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 - -
Gary Payton II * 19 3-10 0-2 0-0 4 3 4 0 6 - -
Isaiah Thomas * 18 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 25 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Jordan McRae 25 3-7 0-2 1-2 8 3 0 0 7 - -
Ish Smith 25 4-8 0-0 1-1 7 6 0 1 9 - -
Davis Bertans 22 2-5 2-5 2-2 3 0 0 1 8 - -
Thomas Bryant 21 6-9 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 13 - -
Johnathan Williams 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter