Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -8 (107-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 40 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 35 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 22 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 25 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 21 | 9-10 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 31 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 8-12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 22 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 17 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 13 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter