Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +14 (109-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 34 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 33 | 6-19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 32 | 4-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 26 | 4-14 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Paschall * | 34 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 34 | 9-21 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 32 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 27 | 8-19 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ky Bowman | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter