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2020-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 30.5% 69.5% -
Bradley-Terry 54.1% 45.9% -
Margin 50.5% 49.5% -0.1 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% -
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% -
Points Off/Def 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -9 (115-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 37 8-16 3-8 4-6 8 1 0 0 23 16 -
LeBron James * 35 13-25 2-7 3-5 5 12 2 0 31 25 -
Danny Green * 32 7-15 4-9 2-4 5 1 4 1 20 16 -
JaVale McGee * 18 3-4 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 3 9 18 -
Avery Bradley * 17 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 2 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 33 7-14 1-4 5-5 3 4 2 1 20 16 -
Dwight Howard 24 2-2 0-0 2-4 10 2 2 3 6 21 -
Alex Caruso 18 0-5 0-1 4-4 6 2 1 1 4 9 -
Troy Daniels 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Quinn Cook 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 3 -
Jared Dudley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 40 15-23 0-0 5-9 9 7 3 0 35 31 -
James Harden * 39 8-20 2-9 16-18 6 7 0 1 34 28 -
P.J. Tucker * 34 2-8 2-5 0-0 8 1 0 0 6 7 -
Clint Capela * 32 4-9 0-0 0-0 12 3 1 3 8 18 -
Ben McLemore * 23 3-7 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 9 6 -
Eric Gordon 29 5-14 3-9 0-0 3 1 0 0 13 3 -
Danuel House Jr. 23 3-9 2-8 2-2 2 0 2 0 10 5 -
Tyson Chandler 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
Thabo Sefolosha 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
Michael Frazier 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter