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2020-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 30.5% 69.5% -
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% -
Margin 41.9% 58.1% +1.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 59.1% 40.9% -
Efficiency 81.9% 18.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.1% 24.9% -
Log Adjusted 75.1% 24.9% -
Points Off/Def 64.7% 35.3% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -10 (112-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 28 10-17 5-8 3-4 7 2 1 0 28 - -
Fred VanVleet * 28 11-16 7-8 0-0 3 2 4 0 29 - -
Pascal Siakam * 24 6-10 0-2 2-2 4 3 0 4 14 - -
OG Anunoby * 24 0-4 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Marc Gasol * 20 2-6 0-4 0-0 4 4 2 0 4 - -
Norman Powell 24 8-15 1-5 3-3 4 4 2 0 20 - -
Serge Ibaka 24 5-13 0-3 2-2 6 3 1 0 12 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 23 3-3 0-0 3-4 6 4 2 2 9 - -
Patrick McCaw 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 3 2 - -
Terence Davis 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Matt Thomas 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Boucher 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Stanley Johnson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 36 6-14 1-5 5-6 10 11 1 0 18 - -
Robert Covington * 33 8-20 4-13 2-2 8 1 2 0 22 - -
Jarrett Culver * 30 8-16 4-10 6-9 4 1 1 2 26 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 26 4-11 1-7 3-4 6 6 0 1 12 - -
Shabazz Napier * 26 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 6 1 0 2 - -
Josh Okogie 27 3-9 1-4 2-2 2 1 1 1 9 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 21 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 - -
Gorgui Dieng 18 3-7 2-3 4-4 7 0 1 1 12 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 14 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 - -
Jordan Bell 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Naz Reid 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter