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2020-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 52.5% 47.5% -
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% -
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% -
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +2 (118-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 37 6-14 3-7 1-1 3 5 0 0 16 - -
Tristan Thompson * 36 5-6 0-0 4-4 7 2 0 3 14 - -
Kevin Love * 34 10-20 4-8 5-5 5 6 1 1 29 - -
Collin Sexton * 33 10-17 4-6 2-2 7 2 0 0 26 - -
Cedi Osman * 27 4-5 4-5 4-4 3 2 2 0 16 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 5 2 0 4 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 20 3-6 0-2 3-3 6 0 0 0 9 - -
Dante Exum 15 0-2 0-1 2-4 0 1 0 1 2 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 39 19-31 2-6 2-4 6 3 5 2 42 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 32 7-14 2-8 1-1 3 1 2 0 17 - -
Kris Dunn * 32 4-6 1-2 1-2 3 4 2 1 10 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 28 3-9 0-1 0-0 2 8 0 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet * 21 4-7 3-5 0-0 3 4 0 1 11 - -
Chandler Hutchison 22 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 4 0 4 - -
Coby White 19 3-6 0-0 5-6 3 3 2 0 11 - -
Thaddeus Young 15 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Cristiano Felicio 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Shaquille Harrison 8 2-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 6 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter