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2020-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 48.7% 51.3% -
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% -
Margin 44.9% 55.1% +1.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 60.8% 39.2% -
Efficiency 78.3% 21.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.1% 24.9% -
Log Adjusted 75.1% 24.9% -
Points Off/Def 64.2% 35.8% -

Actual: New York Knicks -3 (87-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 39 9-15 0-0 3-8 7 8 2 0 21 23 -
Tobias Harris * 34 5-13 4-8 1-1 8 3 0 0 15 13 -
Josh Richardson * 34 7-15 1-5 3-3 3 4 2 1 18 13 -
Al Horford * 32 2-9 0-5 0-0 7 4 0 0 4 6 -
Matisse Thybulle * 29 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 1 5 7 -
Furkan Korkmaz 21 6-12 3-7 2-3 0 0 0 0 17 5 -
Norvel Pelle 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 0 8 -
Mike Scott 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 8 -
James Ennis III 11 1-2 1-2 3-4 2 0 1 0 6 7 -
Raul Neto 8 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 2 4 3 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Morris Sr. * 36 8-17 2-8 2-2 6 3 0 0 20 12 -
Julius Randle * 34 5-13 2-4 2-4 12 5 0 0 14 18 -
Reggie Bullock * 34 6-13 1-4 1-1 3 2 3 0 14 9 -
Elfrid Payton * 31 5-14 0-2 0-0 7 7 1 1 10 12 -
Taj Gibson * 23 4-6 0-0 3-3 4 1 0 0 11 10 -
Mitchell Robinson 24 2-4 0-0 2-4 7 1 0 3 6 13 -
Frank Ntilikina 16 2-8 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 0 -
Bobby Portis 13 1-7 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 -2 -
Allonzo Trier 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Kevin Knox II 11 2-3 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 1 4 5 -

* = starter