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2020-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 65.7% 34.3% -
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (36.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% -
Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.8% 42.2% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -
Points Off/Def 51.8% 48.2% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -33 (103-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sekou Doumbouya * 27 1-8 1-4 1-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Andre Drummond * 26 7-15 0-0 2-4 17 3 5 1 16 - -
Derrick Rose * 26 12-17 1-3 2-2 2 9 1 0 27 - -
Bruce Brown * 20 1-3 0-1 3-4 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Tony Snell * 19 3-3 1-1 1-1 1 0 1 3 8 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 28 9-11 5-7 2-2 2 3 1 1 25 - -
Langston Galloway 27 5-8 2-4 2-2 3 4 1 0 14 - -
Tim Frazier 21 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 7 0 0 2 - -
Markieff Morris 20 7-10 3-5 5-6 1 2 1 0 22 - -
Christian Wood 16 4-6 1-3 1-2 7 1 1 3 10 - -
Thon Maker 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 30 8-15 2-6 1-1 5 3 1 1 19 - -
Cam Reddish * 29 3-10 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 7 - -
Trae Young * 27 6-16 2-7 2-4 8 7 1 0 16 - -
John Collins * 27 8-16 2-4 2-2 5 0 0 2 20 - -
Kevin Huerter * 23 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Jeff Teague 25 6-9 1-1 2-2 3 7 1 1 15 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 20 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 3 0 4 - -
Bruno Fernando 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 4 - -
Treveon Graham 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Damian Jones 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 4 - -
Vince Carter 10 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 1 5 - -
Brandon Goodwin 4 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter