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2020-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 38.0% 62.0% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.3% 77.7% -
Log Adjusted 22.3% 77.7% -
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -4 (119-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 40 12-20 1-4 14-15 10 9 2 0 39 - -
Mikal Bridges * 40 10-13 6-8 0-0 3 0 2 2 26 - -
Dario Saric * 37 6-12 1-4 0-0 11 5 0 0 13 - -
Ricky Rubio * 36 2-9 2-5 2-2 5 9 1 0 8 - -
Deandre Ayton * 35 8-22 0-0 10-11 15 2 0 2 26 - -
Jevon Carter 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 1 6 - -
Elie Okobo 12 0-2 0-2 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Aron Baynes 12 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Ty Jerome 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Cheick Diallo 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 41 8-20 1-3 5-5 7 7 1 1 22 - -
Jayson Tatum * 39 10-20 2-7 4-5 10 2 3 1 26 - -
Marcus Smart * 33 13-25 11-22 0-0 5 8 4 0 37 - -
Daniel Theis * 29 5-7 0-2 2-2 3 3 1 3 12 - -
Grant Williams * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Brad Wanamaker 22 1-6 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Enes Kanter 18 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 8 - -
Javonte Green 17 1-5 1-1 3-4 4 2 1 0 6 - -
Tremont Waters 16 1-5 0-3 2-2 3 3 1 0 4 - -
Semi Ojeleye 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter