Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (120-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 39 | 13-25 | 3-10 | 5-7 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 36 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 32 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mario Hezonja | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Anthony Tolliver | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 11-23 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 33 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 31 | 9-16 | 5-8 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 28 | 6-14 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 19 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter