Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -1 (120-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Reddish * | 36 | 8-13 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 34 | 7-17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 34 | 10-16 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 31 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - | |
| John Collins * | 26 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - | |
| Vince Carter | 22 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 15 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Damian Jones | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 27 | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 23 | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 27 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 16 | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 24 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | - | |
| Derrick White | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 17 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
* = starter