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2020-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 68.1% 31.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 33.8% 66.2% +3.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% -
Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% -
Points Off/Def 29.4% 70.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +4 (113-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 37 11-25 3-8 3-3 4 6 0 0 28 - -
Kevin Love * 34 5-12 0-6 9-13 9 2 0 0 19 - -
Darius Garland * 30 4-12 1-5 2-2 2 6 1 0 11 - -
Tristan Thompson * 24 1-5 0-0 1-1 8 1 1 1 3 - -
Cedi Osman * 21 2-8 0-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 26 6-7 0-1 0-0 10 0 2 1 12 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 24 7-8 2-2 0-2 6 0 2 0 16 - -
Dante Exum 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
John Henson 12 2-6 1-3 3-5 5 2 0 0 8 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 33 7-14 0-1 2-2 5 8 3 1 16 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 32 4-11 0-2 0-2 18 4 0 4 8 - -
Jae Crowder * 30 3-8 1-6 2-3 8 3 3 0 9 - -
Dillon Brooks * 28 9-16 4-7 4-4 2 1 0 0 26 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 19 4-11 0-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 10 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 6-8 1-1 2-2 2 3 0 2 15 - -
De'Anthony Melton 19 1-4 0-1 1-2 5 4 4 0 3 - -
Grayson Allen 16 5-6 1-2 0-1 1 2 0 0 11 - -
Tyus Jones 14 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 5 0 1 7 - -
Solomon Hill 14 2-3 1-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 6 - -
Kyle Anderson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter