Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.8% | 81.2% | +8.0 | ✓ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +29 (140-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Bonga * | 28 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 23 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 31 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 27 | 3-13 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 26 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Anzejs Pasecniks | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 21 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan McRae | 6 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 28 | 7-9 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka * | 25 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 25 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 29 | 10-17 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 23 | 9-16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Patrick McCaw | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Miller | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter