Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -3 (131-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 43 | 10-20 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 25 | - | |
| Will Barton * | 43 | 11-20 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 25 | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 39 | 9-16 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 19 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 29 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 26 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 30 | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damion Lee * | 37 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 36 | 6-18 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 30 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 31 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 9-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 11 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
* = starter