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2020-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 69.7% 30.3% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 51.0% 49.0% -0.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% -
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% -
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +5 (128-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 40 8-20 1-5 0-2 7 3 0 1 17 - -
Kemba Walker * 38 14-23 4-11 8-9 11 3 0 1 40 - -
Marcus Smart * 36 6-15 5-10 7-7 4 2 2 1 24 - -
Gordon Hayward * 32 1-10 1-9 4-4 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Daniel Theis * 22 5-8 1-4 1-2 10 0 1 2 12 - -
Semi Ojeleye 19 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Enes Kanter 15 4-6 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 2 9 - -
Brad Wanamaker 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 - -
Javonte Green 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Grant Williams 7 1-4 1-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 34 11-22 0-5 10-20 17 7 0 2 32 - -
Khris Middleton * 30 8-13 3-5 4-5 6 4 2 0 23 - -
Brook Lopez * 30 6-10 3-5 1-1 3 1 0 4 16 - -
Wesley Matthews * 28 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 20 2-9 1-3 4-4 2 4 1 0 9 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 27 6-11 4-6 3-3 3 1 2 0 19 - -
George Hill 25 4-6 3-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Kyle Korver 18 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 15 3-5 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 0 8 - -
Robin Lopez 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Pat Connaughton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter