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2020-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 51.3% 48.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% -
Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.7% 77.3% -
Log Adjusted 22.7% 77.3% -
Points Off/Def 27.6% 72.4% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -1 (118-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 37 7-12 1-3 6-8 6 3 2 0 21 20 -
Markelle Fultz * 33 9-19 0-0 3-3 11 10 1 0 21 24 -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 7-18 3-7 2-2 4 2 1 0 19 8 -
Wes Iwundu * 31 5-9 1-1 8-10 4 2 2 0 19 18 -
Khem Birch * 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Terrence Ross 31 5-12 2-6 3-4 4 3 1 0 15 11 -
BJ Johnson 22 4-10 1-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 9 5 -
Gary Clark 20 4-6 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 10 9 -
Mo Bamba 15 2-6 0-1 1-2 11 1 1 1 5 13 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 36 7-19 2-9 3-5 3 19 1 0 19 23 -
Kyle Kuzma * 26 2-10 0-2 0-0 5 7 0 1 4 7 -
JaVale McGee * 22 7-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 3 14 19 -
Danny Green * 17 5-11 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 1 11 5 -
Avery Bradley * 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 28 6-12 3-8 2-2 6 3 1 0 17 15 -
Dwight Howard 25 4-10 0-0 1-3 16 1 0 0 9 16 -
Quinn Cook 25 9-14 4-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 22 14 -
Troy Daniels 20 6-9 4-5 1-1 1 1 0 0 17 10 -
Jared Dudley 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 4 -
Alex Caruso 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter