Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -4 (123-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 39 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 34 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 8-18 | 0-5 | 9-10 | 15 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 30 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 26 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 20 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 13 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 37 | 11-17 | 2-4 | 3-9 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 37 | 10-23 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trevor Ariza | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 14 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter