Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +14 (100-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte' Graham * | 36 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 36 | 7-14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 31 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 31 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - | |
| Cody Zeller * | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Dwayne Bacon | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Nicolas Batum | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Marvin Williams | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Cody Martin | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 31 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 22 | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 27 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - | |
| Monte Morris | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 16 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 13 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter