Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -9 (121-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OG Anunoby * | 38 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol * | 31 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 30 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 26 | 9-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Patrick McCaw | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 17 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 30 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 36 | 10-17 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 30 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 17 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Justin Patton | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Hervey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter