Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -5 (99-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 35 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 33 | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 30 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 31 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 18 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Jarrett Culver * | 31 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 30 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 28 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - | |
| Shabazz Napier * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 17 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Treveon Graham | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Naz Reid | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter