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2020-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% -
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% -
Margin 24.7% 75.3% +6.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Log Adjusted 44.9% 55.1% -
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +9 (115-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ian Mahinmi * 30 2-7 0-0 4-6 7 2 1 2 8 13 -
Bradley Beal * 27 8-13 2-4 5-6 4 4 0 0 23 18 -
Isaiah Thomas * 25 4-8 1-3 3-4 2 2 0 0 12 8 -
Gary Payton II * 17 3-4 2-3 2-2 2 2 0 1 10 11 -
Thomas Bryant * 12 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 5 -
Jordan McRae 25 6-13 0-5 4-4 4 3 1 0 16 11 -
Davis Bertans 25 4-15 4-10 0-0 5 2 2 0 12 6 -
Ish Smith 22 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 5 0 1 5 10 -
Isaac Bonga 18 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 8 -
Anzejs Pasecniks 17 4-7 0-0 2-2 3 2 3 1 10 12 -
Troy Brown Jr. 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 32 12-21 6-11 0-1 7 7 1 0 30 24 -
Lauri Markkanen * 31 4-8 2-3 3-4 8 1 0 1 13 15 -
Kris Dunn * 29 1-7 0-5 0-0 2 7 3 1 2 8 -
Tomas Satoransky * 27 5-9 1-4 7-7 3 5 1 0 18 18 -
Daniel Gafford * 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
Luke Kornet 35 4-10 1-5 1-2 4 2 1 2 10 9 -
Coby White 22 4-9 1-5 1-2 4 2 0 0 10 7 -
Thaddeus Young 20 7-9 3-3 1-3 8 0 2 1 18 20 -
Ryan Arcidiacono 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 -
Chandler Hutchison 12 5-7 0-0 1-2 0 0 2 0 11 6 -
Cristiano Felicio 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Shaquille Harrison 2 0-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter