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2020-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 43.4% 56.6% -
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% -
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 (23.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% -
Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.6% 85.4% -
Log Adjusted 14.7% 85.3% -
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -13 (103-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 37 6-6 0-0 1-5 13 7 3 1 13 - -
Tony Snell * 29 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 6 - -
Derrick Rose * 28 11-13 0-2 0-0 2 6 0 1 22 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 27 10-13 2-5 2-4 2 1 1 0 24 - -
Bruce Brown * 23 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 1 4 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 29 6-9 5-8 4-5 1 5 0 0 21 - -
Markieff Morris 21 9-14 3-6 2-3 2 2 2 1 23 - -
Tim Frazier 19 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 - -
Langston Galloway 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Christian Wood 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Thon Maker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 36 10-16 4-8 0-5 12 2 0 0 24 - -
Marcus Smart * 34 1-9 1-4 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 - -
Kemba Walker * 33 7-19 2-11 3-4 2 2 2 0 19 - -
Gordon Hayward * 32 11-15 1-2 2-2 7 1 2 0 25 - -
Daniel Theis * 27 4-5 0-0 1-3 7 6 1 1 9 - -
Brad Wanamaker 21 3-7 1-2 2-2 1 4 0 0 9 - -
Enes Kanter 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 6 - -
Grant Williams 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Semi Ojeleye 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Javonte Green 2 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Vincent Poirier 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter